Bed Time Research Institute

Election Analytics (2008-Present)

Forecasting the outcome of the United States Presidential and Senate Elections

Web Sites: electionanalytics, election12, election08

Papers Published

1.  Rigdon, S., Jacobson, S.H., Cho, W.T., Sewell, E.C., Rigdon, C.J., 2009, “A Bayesian Prediction Model for the United States Presidential Election,” American Politics Research, 37(4), 700-724.

2.    Rigdon, S.E., Sewell, E.C., Jacobson, S.H., Cho, W.K.T., Rigdon, C.J., 2010, “An Analysis of Daily Predictions for the 2008 United States Presidential Election,” Case Studies in Business, Industry and Government Statistics, 4(1), 1-8.

3.    Rigdon, S.E., Sauppe, J.J., Jacobson, S.H., 2015, "Forecasting the 2012 and 2014 Elections using Bayesian Prediction and Optimization," Sage Open, 5(2), 1-16.

Media Coverage

Students Involved

2016

Jason Sauppe (Senior Project Adv., Asst. Prof., Dept. of Computer Science, Univ. of Wisconsin Lacrosse)

Wenda Zhang (Project Advisor, Industrial & Enterprise System Eng. Graduate Student, University of Illinois)

Siddhartha Duri (Web Developer, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

Rishi Jain (Developer, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

Niraj Pant (Developer, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

Victor Jarosiewicz (Mobile App Developer, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

 

2014

Jason Sauppe (Senior Project Advisor, Computer Science Graduate Student, University of Illinois)

Taylor Fairbanks (Team Lead, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

Dimitriy Zavelevich (Web Developer, Math & Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

 

2012

Jason Sauppe (Senior Project Advisor, Computer Science Graduate Student, University of Illinois)

Angela Mengke Ding (Public Relations, Industrial Engineering Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

Taylor Fairbanks (Web Master, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

Bhargava Manja  (Web Developer, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

Calvin Shipplett (Technical Analyst, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

Dimitriy Zavelevich (Tech. Analyst, Math & Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

Joshua Glick (Programmer, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, Swarthmore College)

 

2008

Eric Johnson (Web Master, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois) 
Andrew Keeney (Research Assistant, Poltical Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois) 
William Kormos (Technical Analyst, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois) 
Aukrit Unahalekhaka (Media Research, Computer Science Undergraduate Student, University of Illinois)

 

Last updated: 12 August 2017

URL address: BTRI

 

Contact Information: Sheldon H. Jacobson, 217-244-7275, email, twitter